Nestled in the heart of North West England, Manchester is a city where history hums through red-brick buildings. Flanked by the Pennines to the east and the Irish Sea to the west, Manchester’s unique geography plays a starring role in its ever-dramatic weather.
And, no matter how long you’ve lived here- five months or fifty years, you know that the weather always seems to have a little surprise up its sleeve. That’s the thing about British weather: it’s anything but predictable!
And that’s why they say that you can get all four seasons in one day in Manchester.
True indeed!
But was it always like this? What is Manchester’s historical weather reputation?
What are the significant changes that have occurred till now?
A Look Back: Manchester Weather forecast Then Vs Now
Things are now starting to shift. The Met Office, UK reports that between 1991 and 2020, average temperatures across the UK—including Manchester have risen notably compared to the 1961–1990 baseline. Winters have become milder, and summers noticeably warmer.
Manchester, once mainly known for persistent drizzle, is now seeing record-breaking temperatures, such as the 38°C heatwave in July 2022{1}.
However, the Manchester of today still wears its raincoat—but the difference is that, now, it’s also packing sunscreen and flood alerts with it.
The data from the Met Office, UK paints a clear picture: climate change is reshaping the city’s weather, blending its historical dampness with new extremes. From warmer winters to unpredictable summers, adapting to this shifting climate is no longer optional—it’s essential.
So, with Manchester’s weather history and shifting climate in mind, the next logical question is—what does the year ahead have in store?
What Manchester’s Weather forecast Might Look Like in 2025
Let’s take a closer look at Manchester’s weather forecast in 2025, and what residents and visitors can expect from the skies above this unpredictable yet beloved city-
The Met Office projects that 2025 is likely to be among the top three warmest years on record. Despite the Pacific Ocean transitioning into a La Niña phase, which typically brings cooler conditions, global temperatures are anticipated to remain high. This trend is attributed to ongoing greenhouse gas emissions, which continue to drive global warming
Well, the first five months of 2025 in Manchester have already served up a classic reminder of the city’s weather unpredictability:
January and February were wetter than usual, with heavy rain and storms like Storm Éowyn, which caused some flooding and travel delays. These months were milder than past winters but had more frequent rainfall.
April was sunnier than normal, with warmer temperatures and many clear days. This led to an increase in outdoor activities and tourism.
May has seen a mix of sunshine and light showers, with temperatures reaching up to 22°C
How The Weather Is Shaping For The Months Ahead:
July: Peak Summer Warmth
• Temperature: Average highs around 21°C; occasional peaks above 25°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 80 mm over 17 days.
• Conditions: Warm and relatively dry, with longer settled spells. Occasional showers may occur.
August: Warm with Intermittent Showers
• Temperature: Average highs around 20°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 85 mm over 17 days.
• Conditions: Continued warm weather with increased chances of showers, especially later in the month.
September: Onset of Autumn
• Temperature: Average highs around 17°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 90 mm over 18 days.
• Conditions: Cooling temperatures with a mix of sunny days and increased rainfall.
October: Cooler and Wetter
• Temperature: Average highs around 13°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 95 mm over 19 days.
• Conditions: Frequent rain and overcast skies; autumn fully sets in.
November: Chilly with Increased Rainfall
• Temperature: Average highs around 9°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 97 mm over 19 days.
• Conditions: Cold and damp, with frequent rain and shorter daylight hours.
December: Cold and Damp
• Temperature: Average highs around 7°C.
• Rainfall: Approximately 97 mm over 19 days.
• Conditions: Cold temperatures with frequent rain; occasional frost and rare snow in the city centre.
Smart Dos and Don’ts to Navigate Manchester’s Changing Weather
Now, in a city where the weather can shift in an instant, being prepared makes all the difference-
Summer (June, July, August) –
Dos:
• Dress in light layers to adapt to changing temperatures.
• Always carry a waterproof jacket or umbrella for sudden showers.
• Use sunscreen and wear a hat to protect against UV rays.
• Stay hydrated throughout the day, especially when outdoors.
• Check the daily weather forecast to plan your day effectively.
• Be flexible with outdoor plans as weather can change quickly.
• Manage allergies by taking medications if you are sensitive to pollen.
Don’ts:
• Don’t leave home without preparing for both sun and rain.
• Don’t ignore the signs of dehydration or sunburn.
• Don’t assume the evenings will be warm; bring a light jacket.
• Don’t skip rain gear thinking the weather will stay dry.
• Don’t overexert yourself on the hottest days; take breaks in shade.
Early Autumn (September, October) –
Dos:
• Dress in layers to stay comfortable in cool mornings and evenings.
• Carry waterproof clothing or an umbrella to stay dry.
• Wear reflective clothing during darker evenings for safety.
• Check your home’s heating system as temperatures drop.
• Be prepared for windy conditions; secure loose items outdoors.
• Plan outdoor activities carefully around the weather forecast.
Don’ts:
• Don’t rely solely on sunshine — expect rain and wind at any time.
• Don’t neglect safety by forgetting reflective gear in low light.
• Don’t postpone heating maintenance as colder days approach.
• Don’t leave outdoor furniture or plants unsecured in windy weather.
Late Autumn to Early Winter (November, December) –
Dos:
• Wear warm layers with waterproof outerwear.
• Use reflective clothing and lights when out in early darkness.
• Watch out for icy patches — wear sturdy shoes with good grip.
• Keep your home heating checked and ready.
• Prepare your car with antifreeze and an emergency kit if driving.
• Limit time outdoors in heavy rain, wind, or frost.
• Check the Met Office forecasts regularly to stay updated.
• Take care of your mental wellbeing during darker, colder months.
Don’ts:
• Don’t ignore slippery pavements or icy roads — take caution.
• Don’t stay outside too long without proper clothing.
• Don’t drive without winterising your vehicle.
• Don’t neglect your mood and mental health during the shorter days.
Weather Tips for Tourists They’d Otherwise Miss
Here are some expert-level, often-overlooked tips for tourists visiting Manchester that go beyond the usual umbrella-and-layer advice-
1. Pack fast-drying clothes, not just warm ones.
Manchester’s dampness isn’t just about rain — the air stays moist, which means your clothes may take longer to dry. Fast-drying fabrics help you stay fresh day-to-night.
2. Invest in noise-cancelling earbuds or headphones.
Heavy rain on old city streets and buildings (especially near Deans gate or Northern Quarter) can get loud and echoey — not great for light sleepers in hotels or Airbnb flats.
3. Avoid leather shoes — always.
Leather doesn’t cope well with persistent drizzle and humidity. Opt for waterproof trainers or boots with solid grip — especially in winter months.
4. Bring a small towel in your day bag.
Sounds odd? Locals do it. Whether it’s for wet benches, wiping down your phone after a shower, or drying hands in older restrooms — it’s a lifesaver.
5. Don’t rely too much on weather apps.
Use the Met Office app or website specifically — it’s most accurate for local shifts in weather patterns. Many international apps aren’t great with the city’s microclimates.
6. Explore indoor alternatives in every plan.
Even if it looks sunny, always know your closest cozy café, museum, or arcade. Manchester’s rain can come without notice, and the wind can turn quick walks into sprints.
7. Sunsets can be magical after a rainy day.
Don’t cancel your evening plans — post-shower skies in Manchester can surprise you with dramatic, colourful sunsets, especially around Castle field Basin or Heaton Park.
8. Expect slippery pavements, even on dry days.
Thanks to moss, algae, and historic cobbled streets in areas like Salford and Charlton, slipping is common. Non-slip shoes are a smart bet, even when it’s not raining.
9. Don’t dry clothes near radiators or heaters in closed spaces.
It might feel right, but it creates dampness and an odd smell. Use laundromats or properly ventilated drying spaces, especially if staying in budget accommodation.
10. Take photos after the rain.
The city looks even more charming when its red bricks, canals, and glass buildings are still glistening. It’s a visual treat many tourists miss because they put their cameras away.
Reliable Information Sources for Manchester’s Weather Forecast
Having explored all there is to know so far, it’s essential to turn your attention to the trusted sources that deliver accurate and timely updates on Manchester’s ever-changing weather:
National & Regional Forecasts:
• Met Office
• BBC Weather
• Weather.com (The Weather Channel)
• Netweather.uk
• YourWeather.co.uk
Local News Outlets:
• Manchester Evening News
• BBC North West
• ITV Granada Reports
• Manchester Evening News (MEN)
Government & Official Portals:
• GOV.UK – Met Office
• GOV.UK – Adverse Weather and Health Plan
• UK Health Security Agency
• Environment Agency (Flood Alerts)